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Dream of income investors- high yields of preferred stocks

"The challenge of retirement is how to spend time without spending money"
Author Unknown

Several readers sent me e-mails asking to share some of the specific names in the preferred stocks arena. As I have already explained several times before- rationale behind my interest in this asset class is quite simple- (high yield, relative security and significant upside potential). It is important to remember that nothing is guaranteed and thus diversification is a key!. However, let's not forget that despite all the fear in the banking sector out there- preferred shareholders have seniority over the common stock holders and are invested alongside (pari passu) the government's TARP money.

So while complete nationalization of any specific bank would likely mean prefs being wiped out, by focusing attention on the "stronger" names, one should be able to reduce risk dramatically. Today I want to simply use preferreds of three largest "strong" banks as an example of how I approach valuing these and to show why I believe this market is quite inefficient and thus offers an opportunity for diligent investors.

All of the thoughts below are simply my thoughts on the matter, and shouldn't be perceived as recommendations of any sort..

First name- JPM- the strongest one out of all "domestics"; has a wide variety of various types of prefs- trust preferreds, cumulative ones, fixed and floaters etc. As you can see- yields vary from 9.16% on the JPM-I to only 6.29% on JPM-G. As an example of inefficiency in the market let's take three names: JPM-G, JPM-F and JPM-E. Basic terms and risk is identical for all three (cumulative).

JPM%20Prefs.png

However, JPM-G is about 15% overpriced relative to E and F. Why you might ask? Answer is very simple- at some point over the last few weeks Jim Jubak recommended it in his newsletter, and while the G series has lowest coupon it is trading at a 15% premium to the higher coupon E and F ones. The power of media as they say!

But it is a great opportunity for more nimble and unbiased guys like me :) Short one, long the other and lock in 15% assuming JPM stays solvent. Anyway, just an example- you can see my basic assumptions below- remember - this is not a recommendation in any way. Do your own due diligence and consider this simply a list of ideas...

Same thing for the strongest "non domestic bank" HSBC (HBC)- wild range of securities and big spread in values...

HSBC%20Prefs.png

Similar story for the second strongest "mega-domestic"- Wells Fargo (WFC)- for some reason the prefs that have a name association with Wachovia are selling at 15-20% discounts to their WFC clones. WFC assumed all preferred stock and explicitly stated that all WB preferreds now carry identical terms to the WFC ones...

WFC%20prefs.png

Anyone, hopefully this answers some of your e-mails and comments. Will post more once I get back from my vacation next Sunday...No stock market for 5-6 days- zilch, zero!!!

Stay safe out there and don't forget to do due your own due diligence!

skepticalcapitalist@gmail.com

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